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                    <p><!-- Make sure you modify the 4Cast title in this section -->
                      <span style="font-size: 20px; font-weight: bold;
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                        line-height: 110%;">OPLIN 4Cast #243: Natural
                        language Question Answering</span><br>
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                      <span style="font-size: 11px; font-weight: normal;
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                        font-family: arial;">August 17th, 2011</span></p>
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                    <p style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
                      font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><a
href="http://www.oplin.org/4cast/wp-content/uploads/2011/08/smart_computer1.png"><img
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                          title="smart computer"
                          src="cid:part2.04080505.08030901@oplin.org"
                          alt="" height="112" width="93"></a>An <a
href="http://www.readwriteweb.com/enterprise/2011/08/gartner-adds-big-data-gamifica.php">article</a>
                      caught our attention last week concerning some
                      additions to Gartner Research's Hype Cycle for
                      Emerging Technologies. If you're not familiar with
                      the Hype Cycles, the Garner website has a <a
href="http://www.gartner.com/technology/research/methodologies/hype-cycle.jsp">good
                        explanation</a>, but what they basically do is
                      predict the life cycle of technologies as they
                      move through inflated expectations to eventual
                      productivity. One of the emerging technologies in
                      the current hype cycle is natural language
                      Question Answering (QA), which Gartner predicts
                      will reach mainstream adoption in 5-10 years. For
                      libraries, this is reminiscent of the plot of that
                      old movie <a
                        href="http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0050307/">Desk
                        Set</a>; will computers - similar to the IBM
                      Watson system that recently competed on <em>Jeopardy!</em>
                      - soon be replacing reference librarians?
                    </p>
                    <div> </div>
                    <ul style="text-align: left;">
                      <li style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
                        font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><a
                          href="http://www.research.ibm.com/deepqa/faq.shtml#22">How
                          does QA technology compare to document search?</a>
                        (IBM DeepQA Project FAQ) "The key difference
                        between QA technology and document search is
                        that document search takes a keyword query and
                        returns a list of documents, ranked in order of
                        relevance to the query, while QA technology
                        takes a question expressed in natural language,
                        seeks to understand it in much greater detail,
                        and returns a precise answer to the question."</li>
                      <li style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
                        font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><a
                          href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/06/opinion/06powers.html">What
                          is artificial intelligence?</a> (New York
                        Times Opinion/Richard Powers) "Open-domain
                        question answering has long been one of the
                        great holy grails of artificial
                        intelligence.[...] It goes well beyond what
                        search engines like Google do when they comb
                        data for keywords. Google can give you 300,000
                        page matches for a search of the terms
                        'greyhound,' 'origin' and 'African country,'
                        which you can then comb through at your leisure
                        to find what you need. Asked in what African
                        country the greyhound originated, Watson can
                        tell you in a couple of seconds that the
                        authoritative consensus favors Egypt."</li>
                      <li style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
                        font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><a
                          href="http://www.csail.mit.edu/node/1424">Katz
                          explains contributions to Watson <em>Jeopardy!</em>
                          challenge</a> (MIT CSAIL News/Abby Abazorius)
                        "[Principal Research Scientist Boris] Katz's
                        model of syntactic decomposition helps Watson
                        decipher complex, multi-pronged questions by
                        allowing the system to understand that it needs
                        to tackle several sub-questions. The system then
                        uses an algorithm that helps it decide which
                        sub-questions to answer and in what order, and
                        compiles the gathered information into a
                        cohesive, and hopefully correct, answer."</li>
                      <li style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
                        font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><a
href="http://research.microsoft.com/en-us/um/people/sdumais/EMNLP_Final.pdf">An
                          analysis of the AskMSR question-answering
                          system</a> (Microsoft Research/Eric Brill et.
                        al.) [pdf] "Typically, when deploying a question
                        answering system, there is some cost associated
                        with returning incorrect answers to a user.
                        Therefore, it is important that a QA system has
                        some idea as to how likely an answer is to be
                        correct, so it can choose not to answer rather
                        than answer incorrectly.[...] Ideally, we would
                        like to be able to determine the likelihood of
                        answering correctly solely from an analysis of
                        the question."</li>
                    </ul>
                    <div style="text-align: left;"> </div>
                    <p style="text-align: left; font-size: 20px;
                      font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><small><strong><em>Watson
                            fact:</em></strong></small><br>
                    </p>
                    <div style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
                      font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;">The IBM
                      Watson computer system used on <em>Jeopardy!</em>
                      had 200 million pages of information stored in its
                      memory, including the full text of Wikipedia.
                    </div>
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