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<span style="font-size: 20px; font-weight: bold;
color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial;
line-height: 110%;">OPLIN 4Cast #248: Looking
toward 2015</span><br>
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<span style="font-size: 11px; font-weight: normal;
color: rgb(102, 102, 102); font-style: italic;
font-family: arial;">September 21st, 2011</span></p>
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<p style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><a
href="http://www.oplin.org/4cast/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/prediction_2015.png"><img
class="alignleft size-full wp-image-2216"
style="margin-right: 2px;" title="crystal
ball"
src="cid:part2.06090604.00070501@oplin.org"
alt="" height="118" width="94"></a>At OPLIN,
we pay a lot of attention to forecasts related to
the Internet - and then share some with you in
this <em>4cast</em> blog - and lately we've seen
a number of documents that make predictions for
2015. (The 2015 date results from making 5-year
projections based on 2010 data.) For OPLIN, these
projections become an important consideration when
we plan for our future services, especially when
we project bandwidth costs or upgrade the features
of our <a href="http://oplin.org/webkit">website
kits</a>. Some of these predictions might be
helpful to you, too, as your library looks to the
future.
</p>
<div> </div>
<ul style="text-align: left;">
<li style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><a
href="http://itmanagement.earthweb.com/netsys/article.php/3933366/Where-Will-the-Internet-Be-in-2015.htm">Where
will the Internet be in 2015?</a>
(Datamation/Sean Michael Kerner) "According to
Intel's data, by 2015 there will be a billion
more people connected on the Internet. In terms
of traffic, Intel is forecasting more than 1,000
exabytes of Internet traffic by 2015."</li>
<li style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><a
href="http://www.cisco.com/en/US/solutions/collateral/ns341/ns525/ns537/ns705/ns827/VNI_Hyperconnectivity_WP.html">Entering
the zettabyte era</a> (Cisco Visual Networking
Index) "What can we expect in the next five
years? Video will continue to gain traffic share
and will transform the nature of the network in
new ways as the video mix evolves towards
real-time video content and applications. In
addition to video, there is now evidence of a
second transformation that will bolster growth
and alter the dynamic of network traffic. This
second transformation is not to be found in the
network application mix, but rather in how we
interface with the network, through a rapidly
increasing and diversifying body of network
devices."</li>
<li style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><a
href="http://www.idc.com/getdoc.jsp?containerId=prUS23028711">More
mobile Internet users than wireline users in
the U.S. by 2015</a> (International Data
Corporation) "...the number of mobile Internet
users will grow by a compound annual growth rate
(CAGR) of 16.6% between 2010 and 2015. The
newest release of the International Data
Corporation (IDC) Worldwide New Media Market
Model (NMMM) forecasts that the impact of
smartphone and, especially, media tablet
adoption will be so great that the number of
users accessing the Internet through PCs will
first stagnate and then slowly decline."</li>
<li style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><a
href="http://vimeo.com/neolabels/digitallife">Digital
life: Today and tomorrow</a> (Mitsue
Venture/Ines Leopoldo) [7 1/2-minute infographic
video produced for the 2011 Merchant Risk
Council European e-Commerce Payments & Risks
Conference, Barcelona, Spain, May 2011]</li>
</ul>
<div style="text-align: left;"> </div>
<p style="text-align: left; font-size: 20px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><small><strong><em>Bandwidth
fact:</em></strong></small><br>
</p>
<div style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;">If you're
used to thinking in terms of gigabytes, a
zettabyte is 1,000,000,000,000 (one trillion)
gigabytes, or 1,000 exabytes. In 2010, there were
245 exabytes of traffic on the Internet.
</div>
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<hr><!-- Begin standard subscription verbiage -->
<div style="text-align: justify;">The <strong><em>OPLIN
4cast</em></strong>
is a weekly compilation of
recent headlines, topics, and trends that could
impact public
libraries. You can subscribe to it in a variety
of ways, such as: <br>
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<ul>
<li style="text-align: justify;"><strong>RSS
feed.</strong>
You
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URL:
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</li>
<li style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Live
Bookmark.</strong>
If you're using the Firefox
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4cast RSS feed. </li>
<li style="text-align: justify;"><strong>E-mail.</strong>
You
can have the OPLIN 4cast
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OPLINtech) by subscribing to
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<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://mail.oplin.org/mailman/listinfo/OPLIN4cast">http://mail.oplin.org/mailman/listinfo/OPLIN4cast</a>.
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