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<p><!-- Make sure you modify the 4Cast title in this section -->
<span style="font-size: 20px; font-weight: bold;
color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial;
line-height: 110%;">OPLIN 4Cast #312: Throwing
It All Away</span><br>
<!-- Make sure you modify the date of the 4Cast in this section -->
<span style="font-size: 11px; font-weight: normal;
color: rgb(102, 102, 102); font-style: italic;
font-family: arial;">December 12th, 2012</span></p>
<!-- Begin copy of Web Source here -->
<p style="text-align: justify;font-size: 16px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><img
class="alignleft wp-image-3311" title="trash
can" src="cid:part4.08040306.02080209@oplin.org"
alt="trash can" height="105" width="98">'Tis the
season for predictions, and technology journalists
are among the most prolific predictors of all. You
can hardly open a technology news website without
seeing an article about the ten (or twenty, or
thirty) "top technology trends" to watch for in
2013. One of these futurist predictions caught our
eye recently, because we had not already seen it
on ten (or twenty, or thirty) other websites:
companies will embrace "disposable technology."
The prediction is that more and more often, the
best (only?) way to upgrade business technology
will be to replace it.
</p>
<div> </div>
<ul style="text-align: left;">
<li style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><a
href="http://www.gottabemobile.com/2012/10/25/disposable-computers-become-the-trend-for-apple/">Disposable
computers become the trend for Apple</a>
(GottaBeMobile/Chuong Nguyen) "The idea for
'disposable computing' where users shed their
old devices and get new ones stem from Apple's
success in mobile. In the iPod era, the only way
to get a larger capacity iPod was to buy a new
one as you outgrew the storage of the current
model. iPod devices were sleek and did not come
with replaceable batteries nor removable memory
cards. In the age of the iPhone, Apple created
an even tighter ecosystem where you'd have to
not only buy your apps through the singular
gatekeeper-the App Store-but all components were
sealed and not upgradeable."</li>
<li style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><a
href="http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9230209/The_sealed_box_Mac_Cutting_edge_design_or_planned_obsolescence_">The
'sealed-box' Mac: Cutting-edge design or
planned obsolescence?</a>
(Computerworld/Richard Hoffman) "Max it out, or
be prepared to replace the whole thing sooner
rather than later. Compared to the old strategy
of buying only what you need and upgrading
later, this will increase both the short-term
cost of the computer and the overall cost.
That's because RAM and storage upgrades
purchased later when components have generally
dropped in price, will need to be bought now,
when they are more expensive (and must be bought
directly from a single vendor, Apple, instead of
whomever has the best component prices)."</li>
<li style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><a
href="http://www.infoworld.com/d/adventures-in-it/how-disposable-your-technology-471">How
disposable is your technology?</a>
(InfoWorld/Christina Wood) "Even as we complain
about the planned obsolescence of equipment
we've spent a fortune on, we covet the next cool
thing - an Android phone, a superthin laptop
with the new i7 processor, 3-D HDTVs, Google TV.
We live in amazing times, and older technology
often falls victim to our own desire to swim in
these times."</li>
<li style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><a
href="http://www.informationweek.com/gogreen/121012/">Outlook
2013</a> (InformationWeek/Michael Healey)
[registration required] "It's an accepted
principle with devices; IT shops know that a PC
or laptop really isn't functional after three
years. The lifespan of tablets is likely to be
two years. And now this disposable approach is
coming to software, with apps that company
employees might use for a while, then lose
interest in and dump."</li>
</ul>
<div style="text-align: left;"> </div>
<p style="text-align: left; font-size: 20px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><small><strong><em>Fiscal
fact:</em></strong></small><br>
</p>
<div style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;">As
companies change attitudes about the lifespan of
technology, they will also need to make some
bookkeeping changes. The <em>InformationWeek</em>
article cited above recommends depreciating the
cost of PCs in three years, not five; tablets in
one year, not three; and cloud apps in three
years, not seven.
</div>
<div style="text-align: left;"> </div>
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