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<span style="font-size: 20px; font-weight: bold;
color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: arial;
line-height: 110%;">OPLIN 4cast #390: In the
year 2018</span><br>
<!-- Make sure you modify the date of the 4Cast in this section -->
<span style="font-size: 11px; font-weight: normal;
color: rgb(102, 102, 102); font-style: italic;
font-family: arial;">June 18th, 2014</span></p>
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<p style="text-align: justify;font-size: 16px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><img
src="cid:part4.06000507.05020808@oplin.org"
alt="question mark" align="left" height="105"
width="110">Companies and organizations that
make predictions about the future often seem to
focus on a five-year span. So in 2013, those
organizations were developing their forecasts for
2018. It takes a few months, then, for those
predictions to get published and disseminated in
the media. Now that we're a few months past 2013,
we've seen a number of articles lately based on
those predictions, telling us how things will be
in 2018. Here are four of those articles, which
may be of interest to library tech folks.
</p>
<div> </div>
<ul style="text-align: left;">
<li style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><a
href="http://www.bbc.com/news/entertainment-arts-27694650">E-books
to outsell print by 2018 says new report</a>
(BBC News) "Tim Waterstone told the Oxford
Literary Festival in March that 'every
indication - certainly from America - shows the
[e-book] share is already in decline. The
indications are that it will do exactly the same
in the UK.' But Phil Stokes, an entertainment
and media partner at PwC [Pricewaterhouse
Coopers], said: 'This growth is being driven by
the internet and by consumers' love of new
technology, particularly mobile technology.'"</li>
<li style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><a
href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/06/10/pc-future-2018_n_5476502.html">After
2018, your PC won't be the main way we get
online</a> (Huffington Post | Timothy
Stenovec) "Last year, PCs accounted for 86.4
percent of all Internet traffic. By 2018, the PC
share of Internet traffic will drop to just 50.5
percent, according to Cisco. Compare that to
smartphones and tablets, which last year
accounted for a measly 5 percent and 3.1
percent, respectively, of global Internet
traffic. In 2018, smartphones will jump to 21
percent of traffic, while tablets will account
for 18 percent, according to Cisco."</li>
<li style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><a
href="http://recode.net/2014/06/10/cat-videos-binge-tv-watching-to-account-for-84-of-internet-traffic-cisco-says/">Cat
videos, binge TV watching will account for 84
percent of Internet traffic, Cisco says</a>
(Re/code | Amy Schatz) "In the U.S., Internet
traffic is expected to surge from 15 exabytes
per month last year to 37 exabytes monthly in
2018. ... Internet video is expected to account
for about 84 percent of all U.S. Internet
traffic in four years, up from its current 78
percent, Cisco says. That figure also includes
IP VOD, which is basically pay-TV providers'
on-demand video services."</li>
<li style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><a
href="http://time.com/62989/reminder-nobody-has-a-clue-how-many-wearable-devices-will-sell-in-2018/">Reminder:
Nobody has a clue how many wearable devices
will sell in 2018</a> (Time | Harry McCracken)
"Although I usually try to steer clear of making
tech predictions myself, I am willing to make a
bold one about the wearable market in 2018. I
hereby declare that whatever it looks like then,
the chances are zero that anybody will exclaim,
'Gee, this was all so utterly predictable back
in 2014.'"</li>
</ul>
<div style="text-align: left;"> </div>
<p style="text-align: left; font-size: 20px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;"><small><strong><em>Articles
from <a href="http://ohioweblibrary.org">Ohio
Web Library</a>:</em></strong></small><br>
</p>
<div style="text-align: justify; font-size: 16px;
font-family: arial; line-height: 110%;">
<ul>
<li><a
href="http://web.a.ebscohost.com.proxy.oplin.org/pov/detail?sid=5189b4a8-578c-4bfc-bfef-3601a06c7786%40sessionmgr4002&vid=2&hid=4214&bdata=JnNpdGU9cG92LWxpdmU%3d#db=pwh&AN=B2IDMKE1122375">Cisco
Visual Networking Index predicts global IP
traffic to grow nearly three-fold (reaching
1.6 zettabytes) by 2018</a>. (<em>Marketwired</em>,
6/10/2014)</li>
<li><a
href="http://web.a.ebscohost.com.proxy.oplin.org/ehost/detail?sid=473e302f-5817-473d-b79c-d515c3b0c87d%40sessionmgr4005&vid=3&hid=4214&bdata=JnNpdGU9ZWhvc3QtbGl2ZQ%3d%3d#db=buh&AN=95735333">10
factors that will determine wearable device
success</a>. (<em>eWeek</em>, 4/22/2014 |
Don Reisinger)</li>
<li><a
href="http://web.b.ebscohost.com.proxy.oplin.org/chc/detail?sid=4971b83d-ed18-4dde-abf5-53130c8884ed%40sessionmgr198&vid=1&hid=117&bdata=JnNpdGU9Y2hjLWxpdmU%3d#db=cmh&AN=96299221">Left
to our devices</a>. (<em>American Libraries</em>,
June 2014, p36-41 | interview)</li>
</ul>
</div>
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