[OPLIN 4cast] OPLIN 4cast #476: Internet growth will shift

Wed Feb 10 10:30:10 EST 2016

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OPLIN 4cast #476: Internet growth will shift
February 10th, 2016

[image: mobile Wi-Fi] The annual Cisco Visual Networking Index
<http://www.cisco.com/c/en/us/solutions/collateral/service-provider/visual-networking-index-vni/mobile-white-paper-c11-520862.html>
was released last week. We have blogged here about the VNI in the past
<http://www.oplin.org/4cast/?p=4507> - in fact, this is the fourth time -
because for many years this assessment of Internet usage trends has allowed
us to pretty accurately predict the increase in Ohio public library
bandwidth usage for the next year - always about 30%. That may no longer be
the case. The VNI predicts only an 11% compound annual growth rate (CAGR)
in wired Internet bandwidth from PCs and other fixed devices over the next
five years. On the other hand, it predicts a 68% CAGR in Wi-Fi traffic from
mobile devices. How is your library's Wi-Fi?

   - Phones will drive Internet traffic past the zettabyte mark this year
   <http://recode.net/2016/02/03/phones-will-drive-internet-traffic-past-the-zettabyte-mark-this-year/>
   (Re/Code | Arik Hesseldahl) "Cisco reckons that 5.5 billion people - about
   70 percent of the world's population - will have a mobile device by 2020.
   And between now and then, global mobile traffic will grow at twice the rate
   of the world's population growth. That means that data generated by mobile
   devices - phones, tablets, watches and the like - will grow eightfold in
   that time. By 2020, Cisco predicts the number of people with a mobile phone
   will exceed those who have electrical service, running water and a car."
   - By 2020, mobile will be more common than electricity
   <http://vator.tv/news/2016-02-04-by-2020-mobile-will-be-more-common-than-electricity>
   (VatorNews | Ronny Kerr) "To put it in perspective, Cisco says that, by
   2020, more people will have mobile phones (5.4 billion) than electricity
   (5.3 billion), running water (3.5 billion) and cars (2.8 billion). Cisco
   developed the Cisco VNI Forecast to make predictions about future Web
   trends both for its own needs as well as those of its customers. The
   company uses the phrase 'visual networking' to encompass large swaths of
   Web trends, from video to social networking to collaboration technologies."
   - Cisco forecasts mobile data deluge
   <http://blogs.wsj.com/digits/2016/02/04/cisco-forecasts-mobile-data-deluge/>
   (Wall Street Journal, Digits | Don Clark) "Even at that volume, mobile will
   account for only 15% of total data traffic by 2020-up from 5% in 2015-but
   is growing at a faster rate than the overall Internet, the company said.
   Cisco sees multiple drivers for the mobile data growth. Topping the list is
   video-both the number of videos being generated by smartphones, and the
   rising demand for higher-quality images that translate into more bytes of
   data."
   - Why and how to use videos on your website
   <http://www.cws.net/blog/2016/01/why-and-how-to-use-videos-on-your-website.html>
   (CWS blog| Ethan Herber) "74% of all Internet traffic in 2017 will be
   video. That's pretty impressive. But is the video craze just a passing fad
   or is it here to stay? Today, the general audience would much rather watch
   a video than read an article. With a quick and easy click of the play
   button, they receive a much better visual experience in a shorter amount of
   time."

*Articles from Ohio Web Library <http://ohioweblibrary.org>:*

   - 10th annual Cisco Visual Networking Index (VNI) mobile forecast
   projects 70 percent of global population will be mobile users with 1.5
   connections per capita by 2020.
   <http://search.ebscohost.com.proxy.oplin.org/login.aspx?direct=true&db=pwh&AN=B2IDMKE1242088>
   (*Marketwire*, 2/3/2016)
   - Video delivery over wireless networks: Exploiting network
   heterogeneity and content commonality.
   <http://search.ebscohost.com.proxy.oplin.org/login.aspx?direct=true&db=buh&AN=110788651&site=ehost-live>
   (*Intel Technology Journal*, April 2015, p.120-161 | Salman Avestimehr,
   Tsuhan Chen, Sina Lashgari, Amandianeze Nwana, Saifur Rahman, Md., Sinem
   Unal, and Aaron B. Wagner)
   - A moving impression.
   <http://search.ebscohost.com.proxy.oplin.org/login.aspx?direct=true&db=buh&AN=100149556&site=ehost-live>
   (*Entrepreneur*, Feb. 2015, p.50 | Mikal E. Belicove)

------------------------------
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